Yield quagmire is playing havoc with S&P 500 valuation models

The longer bond yields stay stuck, the jumpier the stock market seems to get. Heading into a historically volatile month, that's the heart of the dilemma facing equity investors as they try to balance divergent signals on valuations and growth.
Goldman strategists led by David Kostin are among those who consider the 10-year Treasury yield -- 1.23 percent at last check -- a key plank in a bull case for stocks. | Photo: BRENDAN MCDERMID/REUTERS / X90143
Goldman strategists led by David Kostin are among those who consider the 10-year Treasury yield -- 1.23 percent at last check -- a key plank in a bull case for stocks. | Photo: BRENDAN MCDERMID/REUTERS / X90143
By Vildana Hajric / Bloomberg

On one side is the claim that very low interest rates make stocks worth more by boosting the value of future profits. Against that is an equally plausible view that falling yields denote pessimism about the economy that make stocks less valuable in anticipation of sluggish growth.

Already a subscriber?Log in here

Read the whole article

Get access for 14 days for free. No credit card is needed, and you will not be automatically signed up for a paid subscription after the free trial.

With your free trial you get:

  • Access all locked articles
  • Receive our daily newsletters
  • Access our app
  • Must be at least 8 characters, including three of: Uppercase, lowercase, numbers, symbols
    Must contain at least 2 characters
    Must contain at least 2 characters

    Get full access for you and your coworkers

    Start a free company trial today

    Share article

    Sign up for our newsletter

    Stay ahead of development by receiving our newsletter on the latest sector knowledge.

    Newsletter terms

    Front page now

    Further reading